This
week's moral: pay attention to the source of data! I have to be honest
with you, after learning about the GCI composition, I am pretty annoyed.
Wait till you read this!
The
Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) is "a highly comprehensive index for
measuring national competitiveness, including microeconomic and
macroeconomic foundations of national competitiveness. (set of
institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of
productivity of a country) (Liu, et al, 2001)." Productivity, in turn,
determines the rates of return obtained by investments in an economy,
hence in theory, there is value of the index information for a business
manager to gauge business opportunity through examining growth
potential. (Liu, et al, 2001) Indicators are often used to rank
countries and to monitor changes within countries over time and they can
even serve to spur debate and policy reform (Kaplan & Pathania,
2010). But, upon further investigation of the elements and actual
composition of the index, this may not be the case! Lets explore.
The GCI is composed of 12 pillars such as innovation, market size, education and training which are
aggregated into a single index (Liu, et al, 2001). The data from the Executive Opinion
survey is used for the calculation of the GCI as well as contributing
as a prime data source for the World Economic Forum’s other
industry-specific projects (Kaplan & Pathania, 2010). Respondents
are asked to evaluate the current conditions of their particular
operating environment on a scale of 1 to 7,. A typical survey question
includes: “Intellectual property protection in your 3 country is weak
and not enforced,” with 1 denoting strong agreement and 7 denoting
strong disagreement (Kaplan & Pathania, 2010).
If you ask me, there's just a little too much perception involved in this equation!
I'm actually pretty annoyed to learn that global competitive ranks are
based on soft perceptual data! What happened to hard data and facts! As a
manager, I would definitely be skeptical to use this information.
Furthermore, whenever I look at data, I always investigate its source,
so lets investigate a little into the people who established the GCI.
The
World Economic Forum (WEF) has attracted the economic and political
elite for over 30 years. Director of Communication and Public Affairs of
the WEF notes that ‘the WEF has succeeded as facilitator of
initiatives. Now, it’s time to be more outcome oriented and become a
catalyst.’ Contrasting viewpoints suggest that the organization is "a
private authority exercised on a global scale by informal and weakly
institutionalized non-state actors ( Graz, 2003)." The WEF has been
negatively described as a “big cocktail party” or elite club (Graz,
2003). Furthermore, members are solicited to develop projects between
themselves, which, if successful, are later subsidized by the
Foundation.... some of them vie with other initiatives to bring new
evidence to influence the policy agenda (Graz, 2003)." So,
with all this self-interest surrounding the GCI, can we use the data
and trust it to be unbiased? Not according to my research!
Step
one in any business investment venture is risk assessment. I would
HIGHLY recommend looking into other MORE CREDIBLE avenues such as
outside consulting firms and publishing firms, namely, Standard &
Poors Rating Group, Harvard Business Review's Global Risk Navigator,
Euromoney [one of my favs :)] (Ball, 2010). Depending on someone's opinion such as that of the GCI is certainly not worth my money!
What's you take?
References:
Ball,
D.A., Geringer, J.M., McNett, J. M. & Minor, M.S. (2010).
International Business: The Challenge of Global Competition. New York:
McGraw-Hill.
Graz, J. C. (2003). How powerful are transnational elite clubs? The social myth of the World Economic Forum.New Political Economy, 8(3), 321-340.
Kaplan, D. S., & Pathania, V. (2010). What influences firms’ perceptions?. Journal of Comparative Economics, 38(4), 419-431.
Liu,
D. Y., & Hsu, H. F. (2001). Competitiveness Review: An
International Business Journal incorporating Journal of Global
Competitiveness. Kybernetes, 38(3), 559-580.
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